Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.041078 0.044803 0.048577 0.052681 0.057011 0.061438 0.066297
2025-07-27 0.035619 0.041130 0.046918 0.053427 0.060514 0.067972 0.076388
2025-08-03 0.031285 0.038043 0.045373 0.053855 0.063339 0.073559 0.085347
2025-08-10 0.026356 0.033758 0.042046 0.051905 0.063203 0.075645 0.090278
2025-08-17 0.023134 0.031073 0.040220 0.051367 0.064414 0.079044 0.096529
2025-08-24 0.020394 0.028685 0.038502 0.050737 0.065337 0.081975 0.102143
2025-08-31 0.018971 0.027752 0.038390 0.051895 0.068263 0.087158 0.110317
2025-09-07 0.017739 0.026936 0.038321 0.053022 0.071092 0.092192 0.118309
2025-09-14 0.016455 0.025940 0.037932 0.053678 0.073294 0.096451 0.125377
2025-09-21 0.015305 0.025024 0.037567 0.054295 0.075399 0.100564 0.132262
2025-09-28 0.014675 0.024756 0.037995 0.055883 0.078685 0.106099 0.140864
2025-10-05 0.013182 0.023179 0.036611 0.055068 0.078907 0.107864 0.144899
2025-10-12 0.012028 0.022051 0.035825 0.055065 0.080230 0.111099 0.150893
2025-10-19 0.011375 0.021611 0.035948 0.056250 0.083081 0.116254 0.159294
2025-10-26 0.010596 0.020924 0.035688 0.056894 0.085224 0.120537 0.166654
2025-11-02 0.009103 0.019010 0.033593 0.054963 0.083938 0.120460 0.168582
2025-11-09 0.008165 0.017896 0.032575 0.054448 0.084466 0.122644 0.173305
2025-11-16 0.007286 0.016796 0.031514 0.053814 0.084790 0.124538 0.177647
2025-11-23 0.006948 0.016588 0.031768 0.055029 0.087599 0.129638 0.186063
2025-11-30 0.006625 0.016379 0.032002 0.056206 0.090357 0.134683 0.194435
2025-12-07 0.006214 0.015974 0.031908 0.056890 0.092435 0.138847 0.201700
2025-12-14 0.005824 0.015575 0.031798 0.057532 0.094447 0.142928 0.208875
2025-12-21 0.005670 0.015609 0.032370 0.059184 0.097867 0.148877 0.218482